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FxPro汇评:德国跌宕起伏:需求疲软打压欧元,提振了DAX指数

FxPro浦汇
FxPro浦汇
03-29

FxPro汇评:德国跌宕起伏:需求疲软打压欧元,提振了DAX指数

周四,欧元兑美元加速下跌,连续第三个交易日下跌,并跌至1.0790下方的五周低点。自3月8日最新就业报告发布以来,该货币对的下行趋势一直存在。随后,该货币对未能达到1.10的水平。

FxPro高级分析师Alex Kuptsikevich指出:欧元兑美元的持续下跌使最初的中性技术面转为负面,形成了“死亡交叉”。50日移动均线即将跌破200日移动均线。

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仍然强劲的经济仍然对美元有利,将首次降息的预期从3月推迟到6月,使其几乎与欧洲央行保持一致。值得注意的是,欧洲央行预计将降息四次,而美联储预计降息两到三次。美元在外汇市场正因此受益。

与此同时,欧洲也报告称其国内需求疲软。德国2月份零售额下降了1.9%,这是连续第四个月下降。同比下降了2.7%。最新的数据是5个月来的低点,但更令人担忧的是不断恶化的趋势。

这并没有阻止DAX指数自今年年初以来上涨10%,达到道琼斯指数的两倍,而且自2月初以来每周都在上涨,在此过程中创下历史新高。欧元的疲软一直是影响德国市场表现优秀的一个重要因素,尽管这不是主要因素。

欧洲央行愿意比美联储更积极地放松政策,这可能是在对抗欧元,有利于德国股票出口商。现在,对德国来说,它就像一个跷跷板跌宕起伏。

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The market carries risks, and investment should be cautious. This article does not constitute personal investment advice and has not taken into account individual users' specific investment goals, financial situations, or needs. Users should consider whether any opinions, viewpoints, or conclusions in this article are suitable for their particular circumstances. Investing based on this is at one's own responsibility.

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欧洲央行

欧洲央行是欧元区的中央银行,负责制定货币政策、管理货币发行和监管金融机构。

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