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FxPro汇评:加元在经历长期下跌后有望在本周末收高

FxPro浦汇
FxPro浦汇
08-27

FxPro汇评:加元在经历长期下跌后有望在本周末收高

周三晚间,在加拿大银行发表评论后,加拿大元汇率上涨了0.5%。央行在定期会议上将基准利率维持在5%,并继续实施量化紧缩政策。

加拿大央行仍担心保持通胀稳定,并希望看到更多证据来证明,它正从高于历史平均水平的当前水平回到目标水平。

加元买盘得到支持的原因是评论没有暗示即将进行利率上调 - 加拿大显然准备长时间暂停。

FxPro高级分析师Alex Kuptsikevich指出:近日鲍威尔的讲话以及经济数据恶化的迹象也给美元带来了压力,这也使得美元加元汇率下行。

从技术上讲,美元兑加元已经回到1.3500,即3月底的盘整水平。美元兑加元的一个关键测试将是1.3480,即200日移动均线的支撑位。它即将从下面被为期50天的移动均线穿过,形成一个“金十字架”。这一信号之后通常会增加买盘,这将是对近期看跌势头强度的一个重要考验。

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鉴于欧元最近的下跌也是由于美元走软,看跌势头可能会继续,这是继连续九周上涨后的首次出现的每周下跌。

与此同时,USDCAD可能直到1.32-1.3250地区才找到显著的支持,这对货币对去年在那里被推了好几次。

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