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Market Insights: Mar 18, 2024

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
03-18

In China, the value-added industrial output of large enterprises grew by 7.0% year-on-year in January and February; the March 15th program exposed "Tinghua" liquor for false advertising of its therapeutic effects.

Economic Data and Market Trends:

  • In China, the industrial output of enterprises above a designated size increased by 7.0% year-on-year in January and February, with a month-on-month growth of 0.56%.
  • On Monday, all three major A-share indices opened higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.08%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.54%, and the ChiNext Index by 1.17%. Different industry sectors performed variably, with significant gains seen in automotive dismantling, Kirin batteries, brain engineering, energy metals, flying cars, complete automobiles, motors, AI smartphones, CRO, etc., while sectors such as cultivated diamonds, precious metals, BeiGene, the coal industry, and state-owned enterprise cloud concepts experienced larger declines.
  • During the U.S. stock market session, Chinese stocks fell for two consecutive days, but still accumulated nearly a 4% gain for the week; Li Auto saw an increase of over 2%. The offshore yuan weakened for four consecutive days, failing to recover 7.20 on Friday.
  • Market performance last Friday: The Shanghai Composite Index recorded five consecutive weeks of gains, with more stocks rising than falling, and over 4300 stocks advanced. The combined trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges was 944.5 billion, down 62.7 billion from the previous trading day, with the transaction amount falling below one trillion yuan.

International Politics and Elections:

  • Russian presidential election results: With 85% of the votes counted, the incumbent President Putin led with an 87.19% vote share, effectively securing victory in this election.

Semiconductor Industry and Technology:

  • TSMC is considering establishing advanced packaging capacity in Japan, which will provide momentum for the revival of Japan's semiconductor industry.

Hong Kong Finance and Real Estate:

  • Hong Kong's syndicated loan total fell by 20% year-on-year in 2023. Major real estate developers, with ample cash flow, prefer to repay debt with cash rather than increase borrowing. The local real estate market's poor performance has led to a decrease in the value of developers' collaterals, making financing more difficult and further affecting the amount of syndicated loans.
  • Rating agency S&P has placed Vanke (02202) on the negative watch list, with a long-term issuer credit rating of 'BBB+'.

Other:

  • The 3ยท15 program exposed the false advertising of "Tinghua" liquor, claiming it had therapeutic effects for alcohol. Qinghai Spring Company announced that due to suspected violations of relevant laws and regulations, the Securities Regulatory Commission has decided to inspect the company.
  • On March 18, the Japanese stock market performed strongly, with the Nikkei 225 index expanding its gains to 2%. Previously, the Bank of Japan announced plans for unscheduled bond purchases, expected to buy a total of 3 trillion yen of Japanese government bonds from March 19 to March 21. At the same time, Goldman Sachs predicted that the Bank of Japan might abandon its negative interest rate policy and YCC (yield curve control) policy on Tuesday.
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